Zerohedge

197 posts

Welcome To LaLa Land As Market Jettisons Tail Risks

Welcome To LaLa Land As Market Jettisons Tail Risks By Simon White, Bloomberg Markets Live reporter and analyst The economy is signaling a more volatile, potentially recessionary period. Markets, however, aren’t paying attention. Not only are the twin tail risks of a downturn or resurgent inflation being ignored, but a near-impossible “immaculate acceleration” of boomy growth and benign price appreciation is becoming the base case. It’s not the first time that markets and the economy have been at odds, but this is one of the most egregious. Just as the economic mood music becomes more somber and underlying signs of

Futures Flat At All Time High As Markets Mull Next Move

Futures Flat At All Time High As Markets Mull Next Move US index futures are flat after notching new record highs on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, spurred on by a miss in the US CPI print and retail sales data on Wednesday, which also boosted bets the Federal Reserve will ease policy. That inflation data, which the market was feverishly anticipating, was inadvertently published 30 minutes early the BLS reported, raising fresh questions about how some of the world’s most sensitive economic information is released. As of 7:30am, S&P and Nasdaq futs are up 0.1% with small caps

What About The Non-Superstar Companies That Account For 85% Of US Jobs

What About The Non-Superstar Companies That Account For 85% Of US Jobs By Dhaval Joshi of BCA Research The Superstar Economy The stellar performance of the S&P 500 superstars is not representative of the profits of wider corporate America. For the direction of the US jobs market, we should closely monitor the profits of the 6.4 million non-superstar US companies that account for 85 percent of US jobs. These profits have been softening. The US stock market’s record 50 percent valuation premium versus the non-US stock market is pricing generative AI to do through the next decade what the Web

Commodity Index Hits Highest In Year As Sticky Inflation Becomes Nightmare For Fed 

Commodity Index Hits Highest In Year As Sticky Inflation Becomes Nightmare For Fed  About a month ago, HSBC Global Research noted a forecast for a "weak" bull market in commodities. New data shows that the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April rose by .3% from the previous month and by 3.4% year-over-year. Although inflation is still increasing, it is doing so at a slower pace. Meanwhile, in Asia, Beijing is working to stabilize its economy. Amid these developments, commodity prices, tracked by Bloomberg, have reached their highest level in a year. This poses a serious threat for Fed Chair Powell's

'So Much For Democracy'? Blinken Justifies Ukraine Canceling Elections

'So Much For Democracy'? Blinken Justifies Ukraine Canceling Elections Authored by Dave DeCamp via AntiWar.com, Secretary of State Antony Blinken made an unannounced visit to Ukraine on Tuesday and delivered a speech where he justified President Volodymyr Zelensky’s decision to postpone elections. Presidential elections were due to be held in March, but they weren’t, and Zelensky will remain in office after his term ends on May 20. Ukrainian parliamentary elections were scheduled to be held last year in October, but they were also canceled. On Tuesday night Blinken put on a concert at a bar in Kyiv. Zelensky and other Ukrainian officials have

These Are Africa's Most Powerful Passports

These Are Africa's Most Powerful Passports The Seychelles has the most powerful passport in Africa, followed by Mauritius and South Africa, according to the Henley Passport Index 2024. This index ranks passports based on the number of destinations their holders can access without a prior visa. As Statista's Anna Fleck shows in the following chart, citizens from Seychelles can travel to 156 destinations without a visa organized beforehand. In a global comparison, the country ranks 26th, joint with St. Kitts and Nevis in the Caribbean as well as Uruguay in South America. Mauritius ranks 29th globally alongside Trinidad and Tobago and

“West's Governments Need War” Warns Martin Armstrong “Because Their Debts Are No Longer Sustainable”

"West's Governments Need War" Warns Martin Armstrong "Because Their Debts Are No Longer Sustainable" Interview with Martin Armstrong by Piero Messina for SouthFront Martin Armstrong is one of the most influential economists of our times. Someone called him the “Forecaster”, because that was the title of the biopic film that helped make his activities known throughout the world. Those of Martin Armstrong are not just “predictions”, as his reflections are based on the compendium of precise mathematical formulas and analytical skills. We interviewed him to try to understand the current geopolitical context. From the crisis of Western democracies to the birth of the BRICS front

Google's Smartphone Loyalty Problem

Google's Smartphone Loyalty Problem Google's latest smartphone, the Pixel 8a went on sale this week - a more affordable version of October's Pixel 8 and Pixel 8 Pro, with which the tech giant aims to wrestle more of the market out of Apple's and Samsung's hands. While the devices and their AI-driven software may well win over new customers, Statista's Martin Armstrong reports that data from the Statista Consumer Insights survey suggests Google's biggest battle could be to hold onto the ones they've already got. When asked how likely they were to change to a different smartphone brand at the next opportunity, over half

Hezbollah Leader Threatens To “Open The Sea” To Flood Europe With Migrants

Hezbollah Leader Threatens To "Open The Sea" To Flood Europe With Migrants Authored by Paul Joseph Watson via Modernity.news, Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah urged Lebanese authorities to ‘open the sea’ in order to flood Europe with a new wave of migrants. Nasrallah made the remarks during a televised address at a rally marking the eighth anniversary of the assassination of late Hezbollah Resistance military commander Mustafa Badreddine. The militant leader called for “a national decision that says: we have opened the sea… whoever wants to leave for Europe, for Cyprus, the sea is in front of you. Take a boat

Get Woke, Go Broke: New “Queer” 'Doctor Who' Suffers Worst Ratings In Series History

Get Woke, Go Broke: New "Queer" 'Doctor Who' Suffers Worst Ratings In Series History Woke activists today often like to hearken back to nostalgic media from the 1960s; what they consider the golden era or genesis moment of far-left movements in British and US history.  These were the days when being a progressive was considered "counter-culture" and cool, with every major rock star and celebrity tapping into youth angst and hippie philosophy.  The progressive shift led to considerable social instability in the 1970s. It is common these days to hear leftists in popular media argue that TV shows like Star

Israel Will 'Set Sights' On Turkey If Hamas Defeated, Erdogan Claims

Israel Will 'Set Sights' On Turkey If Hamas Defeated, Erdogan Claims Via The Cradle Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan warned on 15 May that Israel would "target" Turkey if victorious against the Hamas and other Palestinian militants in the Gaza Strip. "Israel will not stop in Gaza, and if not stopped, this rogue state will eventually target Anatolia with its delusions of a promised land," Erdogan said during a parliamentary group meeting in Ankara. "We will continue to stand by Hamas, which fights for the independence of its own land and which defends Anatolia," the Turkish president stressed. Turkey's Erdogan Erdogan

Escobar: De-Dollarization Bombshell – The Coming Of BRICS+ Decentralized Monetary Ecosystem

Escobar: De-Dollarization Bombshell - The Coming Of BRICS+ Decentralized Monetary Ecosystem Authored by Pepe Escobar, Get ready for what may well be the geoeconomic bombshell of 2024: the coming of a decentralized monetary ecosystem. Welcome to The Unit  – a concept that has already been discussed by the financial services and investments working group set up by the BRICS+ Business Council and has a serious shot at becoming official BRICS+ policy as early as in 2025. According to Alexey Subbotin, founder of Arkhangelsk Capital Management and one of the Unit’s conceptualizers, this is a new problem-solving system that addresses the key

Environmental Protection Not A Major Issue For Majority

Environmental Protection Not A Major Issue For Majority In a survey of 38 countries carried out by Statista Consumer Insights, only between 21 and 44 percent of respondents said that they considered environmental protection a major issue for their country. As Statista's Katharina Buchholz reports, respondents in Brazil were the most concerned about the environment, with those in Mexico and Colombia also rating environmental protection as more important than most countries in the survey. You will find more infographics at Statista The picture was more mixed in Asia, with Indonesians seeing the issue as highly important, while respondents in Indian and China hit

A Nanny State Idiocracy: A Tale Of Too Many Laws And Too Little Freedom

A Nanny State Idiocracy: A Tale Of Too Many Laws And Too Little Freedom Authored by John & Nisha Whitehead via The Rutherford Institute, “Whether the mask is labeled fascism, democracy, or dictatorship of the proletariat, our great adversary remains the apparatus—the bureaucracy, the police, the military.” - Simone Weil, French philosopher We are caught in a vicious cycle of too many laws, too many cops, and too little freedom. It’s hard to say whether we’re dealing with a kleptocracy (a government ruled by thieves), a kakistocracy (a government run by unprincipled career politicians, corporations and thieves that panders to the worst vices in

Convicted Non-Violent Felons Can Own Guns, Ninth Circuit Rules

Convicted Non-Violent Felons Can Own Guns, Ninth Circuit Rules In what must be the first time California's 9th circuit has ruled in favor of the 2nd Amendment, non-violent convicted felons can now own guns. The decision stems from a 2020 case, in which California resident Steven Duarte was arrested after tossing a handgun out of a moving car during a traffic stop. He was indicted by a federal grand jury for possessing said firearm while being previously convicted of "a crime punishable by imprisonment for a term exceeding one year" in violation of the federal “felon-in-possession” law. A customer shops

Toxic Atmosphere At FDIC Spurs Calls For Chair's Resignation

Toxic Atmosphere At FDIC Spurs Calls For Chair's Resignation Authored by Philip Wegmann via RealClearPolitics, The White House did not offer their full faith and credit to the FDIC chairman when asked by RealClearPolitics about a bombshell 234-page investigation that detailed a toxic environment within the agency. Other than noting that Martin Gruenberg, the official in question, had already “apologized and spoke[n] to” allegations that he presided over a culture of bullying, harassment, and mismanagement, Karine Jean-Pierre, the president’s spokeswoman, mostly demurred. Gruenberg will not skate by so easily when he testifies before Congress this week. Republicans in both the

“Make Innocence Great Again”: Mothers Gear Up To Decide The 2024 Elections

"Make Innocence Great Again": Mothers Gear Up To Decide The 2024 Elections Authored by Russ Jones via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours), A voter casts her ballot with her child during the midterm primary election at a polling station at Rose Hill Elementary School in Alexandria, Va., on June 21, 2022. (Alex Wong/Getty Images) “Make innocence great again.” It’s a mantra that Juliana Ormond feels strongly about. The suburban mom of three children seeks to call attention to the importance of preserving the purity and innocence of childhood. She said she desires a return to a time when she contends

Boeing Could Face Criminal Prosecution Over 737 MAX Crashes: Justice Department

Boeing Could Face Criminal Prosecution Over 737 MAX Crashes: Justice Department Authored by Jacob Burg via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours), The U.S. Department of Justice determined on May 14 that Boeing violated a deferred prosecution agreement that allowed the aerospace company to evade criminal charges after two crashes of its 737 MAX jet that killed everyone on board. The logo for Boeing appears on a screen above a trading post on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on July 13, 2021. (Richard Drew/AP) Justice Department prosecutors delivered the news to a federal judge on May 14 after

Glenn Greenwald Makes An Important Prediction On Ukraine

Glenn Greenwald Makes An Important Prediction On Ukraine It was Tuesday night that Secretary of State Antony Blinken was leading a bizarre rock anthem as the guitar and vocals front man at a Kiev bar, singing Neil Young’s "Rockin’ in the Free World" — and the internet collectively cringed. But only the next morning, on Wednesday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky declared he was canceling all upcoming foreign trips at a moment his forces are getting hammered in the Kharkiv region. "Volodymyr Zelenskyy has instructed that all international events scheduled for the coming days be postponed and new dates coordinated. We are

FBI And DHS Issue Warning On Foreign Terrorist Groups For June “Pride Month'

FBI And DHS Issue Warning On Foreign Terrorist Groups For June "Pride Month' Authored by Jack Phillips via The Epoch Times, The FBI and U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) issued a public service announcement saying that foreign terrorist organizations like ISIS and related terrorist organizations could target certain events across the United States during “Pride Month”-related events in June. “Organizations like ISIS may seek to exploit increased gatherings associated with the upcoming June 2024 Pride Month,” the announcement said. The two agencies said the terror threat is “compounded” by the “current heightened threat environment” in the United States. The

France Declares State Of Emergency, Sends Troops, To Quell Deadly Riots In Pacific Territory

France Declares State Of Emergency, Sends Troops, To Quell Deadly Riots In Pacific Territory French President Emmanuel Macron has declared a 12-day state of emergency starting Wednesday as a result of deadly riots which have gripped France's Indo-Pacific territory of New Caledonia. Four people died and many others were wounded in clashes with police Tuesday night, with reports of looting and buildings burned to the ground. The mayhem was sparked by a vote in France's parliament, the National Assembly, which authorizes residents who've resided in New Caledonia for 10 years to cast ballots in provincial elections. Car with flag of the Kanak and

Al Gore Said The Ice-Caps Would Be Gone By 2014… Yes 2014!

Al Gore Said The Ice-Caps Would Be Gone By 2014... Yes 2014! Authored by Martin Armstrong via ArmstrongEconomics.com, The Press refuses to hold all of these failed Climate Change forecasts to task... All they do is keep moving the date for our doom, all due to CO2. In fact, the real crisis is the continued weakening of the magnetic field, which leads to pole shifts about every 43000 years – yes, that conforms to the ECM frequency. The major shifts we discovered from the data scientists provided us came out to be 720,000 years. Either way, they both seem to be lining

Mississippi Passes Law Banning Trans-Friendly Bathroom Policies In Public Schools

Mississippi Passes Law Banning Trans-Friendly Bathroom Policies In Public Schools A lot of Americans are asking how we so quickly got to a point where a man could simply declare he is the opposite sex, throw on a wig and a leotard, and then walk into a women's restroom while being protected by government officials?  In some Democrat controlled states if you try to stop these people from doing this you could even be arrested or sued.  Even worse, the gender ideology has now infiltrated public schools where young and vulnerable children are subject to trans exceptionalism.   How did

Thousands Of Children Prescribed Ivermectin Or Hydroxychloroquine For COVID: Study

Thousands Of Children Prescribed Ivermectin Or Hydroxychloroquine For COVID: Study Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times, Doctors prescribed ivermectin or hydroxychloroquine more than 4,400 times to children with COVID-19 during periods of time when the drugs were not recommended against the illness by authorities, according to a new study. Doctors issued 813 prescriptions of hydroxychloroquine to minors with COVID-19 after the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society on Sept. 12, 2020, advised against using hydroxychloroquine outside of a clinical trial, researchers found. The recommendation came after the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) revoked emergency use authorization for hydroxychloroquine against

These Are The Most Polluted Cities In The US

These Are The Most Polluted Cities In The US According to the World Health Organization, air pollution is responsible for 7 million deaths annually, and could cost the global economy between $18–25 trillion by 2060 in annual welfare costs, or roughly 4–6% of world GDP. And with predictions that 7 in 10 people will make their homes in urban centers by mid-century, cities are fast becoming one of the frontlines in the global effort to clear the air. In this visualization, Visual Capitalist's Chris Dickert uses 2024 data from the State of the Air report from the American Lung Association to show the most polluted cities in the United

US Suspends EcoHealth Funding Over Wuhan Lab Compliance

US Suspends EcoHealth Funding Over Wuhan Lab Compliance Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours), U.S. officials have cut off funding to a nonprofit that funneled government money to a laboratory in China located in the same city where the first COVID-19 cases appeared. Peter Daszak, president of the EcoHealth Alliance, testifies before the Select Subcommittee on the Coronavirus Pandemic in Washington, on May 1, 2024. (Madalina Vasiliu/The Epoch Times) EcoHealth Alliance (EHA), the nonprofit, “did not adequately monitor” compliance from the Wuhan lab with the terms and conditions of a grant from the U.S. National Institutes

Tyson Foods CEO Unsure When Nation's Collapsing Beef Herd Will Reverse

Tyson Foods CEO Unsure When Nation's Collapsing Beef Herd Will Reverse Tyson Foods CEO Donnie King spoke at the BMO Global Farm to Market Conference in Toronto on Wednesday, expressing much uncertainty about when US ranchers will rebuild tight cattle herds meaningfully.  Reuters was the first to report King's comments at BMO's farm conference. He stated ranchers had been pressured in recent years to offload cattle due to high grain costs and drought, which, in return, sent the nation's beef cattle herd plunging to the lowest in more than half a century.  King provided some encouraging news, citing slightly lower grain costs and improved grazing

Slovak PM Robert Fico Expected To Survive; UK Media Appears To Justify Assassination Attempt

Slovak PM Robert Fico Expected To Survive; UK Media Appears To Justify Assassination Attempt Update(1840ET): Prime Minister Fico is said to be improving, following reports that he was in surgery due to several gunshot wounds from the Wednesday assassination attempt. Deputy Prime Minister Tomas Taraba has told the BBC he "is not in a life-threatening situation at this moment."  "Fortunately, as far as I know, the operation went well – and I guess in the end he will survive," the statement indicated. Deputy Prime Minister Robert Kalinak has told reporters in a briefing that "there is no doubt" that the attack was a politically motivated assassination

Diesel Takes Another Hit And May Be Driving Down Broader Oil Market

Diesel Takes Another Hit And May Be Driving Down Broader Oil Market By John Kingston of FreightWaves With the benchmark diesel price used for most fuel surcharges down for the fifth week in a row, diesel consumers should be reveling in the fact that market trends appear to have completely thrown out concerns about the Middle East conflict and are focused on the markets for both diesel and gasoline as primary drivers. The Department of Energy/Energy Information Administration average weekly retail diesel price fell 4.6 cents Monday to $3.848 a gallon. The five consecutive declines have taken that price down

'Guns & Butter': Putin Explains Reason Behind Major Cabinet Shake-Up

'Guns & Butter': Putin Explains Reason Behind Major Cabinet Shake-Up Russian President Vladimir Putin has for the first time explained the rationale behind this week's major cabinet reshuffling, which for the first time of the Ukraine operation saw Sergey Shoigu removed as defense minister (and 'promoted' to head of the national security council), and former minister for economic development Andrey Belousov moved into the defense chief spot. He described the decision as due to the dramatic rise in the defense budget and military spending. Putin said of Belousov: "He understands perfectly well what needs to be done in order for the economy

Money's Grim Future

Money's Grim Future Authored by Alan Lash via The Brownstone Institute, Prepare for total control of your economic life. That is the message from Brownstone Fellow Aaron Day at his 4-hour workshop in San Jose, California last Saturday, May 11th. Day has written the excellent book The Final Countdown, which carefully describes the increasingly aggressive assaults on our freedoms by our government and by the global elites. He has just begun a series of workshops around the country to deliver that message and to show us a way to resist. The book was published just last year, but Day acknowledges during the presentation that

April Cass Data Shows No Improvement In Freight Demand

April Cass Data Shows No Improvement In Freight Demand By Todd Maiden of FreightWaves Another month passed without signs a recovery in the freight cycle was on the horizon. “Still waiting for it,” Cass’ April update on volumes and pricing stated. The shipments component of the Cass Freight Index fell again in the month, down 1.6% seasonally adjusted from March and 4% lower year over year (y/y). The Tuesday data showed volumes were hovering around the late 2023-January 2024 cycle trough. The April reading was the lowest since January, which is typically the slowest part of the year and weaker

Biden Readies $1BN In Bombs For Israel Despite Progressive & Swing State Voter Revolt

Biden Readies $1BN In Bombs For Israel Despite Progressive & Swing State Voter Revolt The Biden administration continues to speak out of both sides of its mouth when it comes to Israel and Gaza policy as Progressive Democratic voters continue peeling off in droves, declaring that they can't in good conscience vote for Biden in November. On Tuesday, the contradictions continued and abounded, as the White House informed Congress it is planning a new $1 billion arms transfer to Israel. And ironically this will mark the first new package since Biden earlier this month announced it paused a weapon shipment

Coalition Of States Sue Biden Admin, California Over Electric Vehicle Mandates

Coalition Of States Sue Biden Admin, California Over Electric Vehicle Mandates Authored by Katabella Roberts via The Epoch Times, A coalition of Republican-led states is suing the Biden administration and the State of California in an attempt to prevent new electric vehicle mandates on truck owners and operators throughout the country from going into effect. Two legal challenges were filed over the new emissions rules, Nebraska Attorney General Hilgers said in a statement on May 13. They include a petition for review filed by a coalition of 24 states in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit which

America's 'Bunker-Buster' Bomb Production To Triple As World Fractures Into Dangerous Multi-Polar State

America's 'Bunker-Buster' Bomb Production To Triple As World Fractures Into Dangerous Multi-Polar State Munitions stockpiles are running low across the West, whether in Europe or the United States. Supplying Ukraine with arms in its war against Russia has forced Western militaries and defense firms to either make plans or begin boosting the production of bombs, missiles, artillery shells, and suicide drones.   On Tuesday, the US Air Force announced a tripling in its monthly production of the giant 30,000-pound Massive Ordnance Penetrator, known as the "bunker-buster." It's the largest non-nuclear bomb the US has in its stockpiles and can only be deployed by a Northrop Grumman B-2 Spirit

Stimulus Today Costs Dearly Tomorrow

Stimulus Today Costs Dearly Tomorrow Authored by Michael Lebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Since the pandemic-related bazooka of fiscal stimulus, the outstanding Federal debt has risen appreciably. In nominal dollar terms, the recent debt surge is mindboggling. However, the increase is on par with the government’s negligent ways over the last fifty years. The red bars show the percentage increase in debt starting in 1966. The bars reset to zero every time they hit 50%. The numbers to the left of each series of bars correspond to the number of quarters it took for every 50% increase. Over the last sixteen quarters

Goldman Warns Copper “Is Having A Cocoa Moment” 

Goldman Warns Copper "Is Having A Cocoa Moment"  In a Goldman Materials note this morning covering China and copper, analyst James McGeoch pointed out that the base metal is "having a Cocoa moment."  Comex copper futures for July delivery jumped nearly 5% to $5.12 a pound, exceeding an earlier record for the most active contract set in March 2022. According to Bloomberg, the short squeeze "prompted a scramble to divert metal in other regions to US shores."   Comex copper futures are breaking out.  Comex copper futures are in one of the biggest-ever backwardation periods - a clear indication of severely tight supply.  "Short spread and futures holders

Bitcoin Paves The Way For A New Era Of Free Market Banking

Bitcoin Paves The Way For A New Era Of Free Market Banking Authored by Nick Giambruno via InternationalMan.com, Hal Finney was a pioneering computer scientist, cryptographer, and prominent Cypherpunk who played a crucial role in the early development of Bitcoin. He was one of the first supporters, contributors, and adopters of Bitcoin. In short, Finney was a visionary who understood Bitcoin’s potential before almost everyone else. In December 2010, Finney wrote: “There is a very good reason for Bitcoin-backed banks to exist, issuing their own digital cash currency, redeemable for bitcoins. Bitcoin itself cannot scale to have every single financial

The Grain That Feeds The World Is At Risk Of An Upside Breakout 

The Grain That Feeds The World Is At Risk Of An Upside Breakout  Rice is a staple food for over 3.5 billion people worldwide, especially in Asia, Latin America, and Africa. It's grown in over 100 countries, with 90% of the world's rice produced in Asia. We have been tracking the prices of Thai white rice, which surged to 15-year highs in 2023 and has since consolidated at these highs with risks of a further upside breakout.  According to new data from the Thai Rice Exporters Association, Thai white rice 5% broken, an Asian benchmark, rose nearly 6% to $649 a ton, inching closer and closer

Venezuela Moves “Substantial Quantities” Of Troops To Guyana Border

Venezuela Moves "Substantial Quantities" Of Troops To Guyana Border By Charles Kennedy of OilPrice.com Venezuela has moved “substantial quantities of [military] personnel and equipment to the border with Guyana amid its territorial dispute over the Essequibo region. The update comes from the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington D.C., which this week released a report on the latest developments in the Venezuela-Guyana dispute. The think tank talks about an expansion of a military base on Anacoco Island in the area, with new roads and a bridge getting built in the past few months. A local airport is also being expanded

Does Inflation Lead To Civilizational Collapse? A Look At Rome

Does Inflation Lead To Civilizational Collapse? A Look At Rome With the US national debt at $34 trillion and climbing, USD reserve status under pressure, inflation destroying standards of living, and the Biden administration stoking costly war on several fronts, perhaps it's time for more thoughts on the Roman empire. In a Tuesday thread posted to X, user 'Culture Critic' (@Culture_Crit) posted a deep dive into the unraveling of the Rome in the 3rd century. Let's jump in; Does inflation lead to civilizational collapse? Well, in the 3rd century, the Roman Empire began to buckle under the weight of state

Shooter Of Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico Identified; Hungary's Orban Expresses 'Deep Shock'

Shooter Of Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico Identified; Hungary's Orban Expresses 'Deep Shock' Update(1220ET): The identity of the shooter has been revealed in national media, and video of the actual moment the shots range out and PM Fico went down has emerged on some social media platforms. Several local media reports, citing visuals and witnesses at the scene, report that the man who shot the Slovak PM is a writer and activist named Juraj Cintula. While a clear motive has yet to be established, Cintula is said to be part of the pro-West and socially liberal "Progressive Slovakia" party. New: moment

CPI Does Not Signal Re-Emergence Of Disinflationary Trend

CPI Does Not Signal Re-Emergence Of Disinflationary Trend Authored by Simon White, Bloomberg macro strategist, Today’s CPI data shows the gap between CPI and PPI continues to rise, a proxy for profit margins. After a rise and fall through the pandemic, they are persistently rising again.  Profits are positioned to be one of the main vectors of persistent consumer inflation in this cycle. Yields are in an interim trend lower as recessionary risks resurface, but the primary uptrend is intact. There will be another bond selling opportunity later in the summer. This rise in the profit-margin proxy matches the message from

RFK Jr. Cries 'Collusion' After Biden And Trump Ditch Him For Debate

RFK Jr. Cries 'Collusion' After Biden And Trump Ditch Him For Debate Update (1252ET): With recent analysis from both Goldman and TS Lombard suggesting that 3rd party candidates could have a huge impact on the 2024 election, wildcard candidate RFK Jr. has accused Trump and Biden of 'colluding to lock American into a head-to-head match-up that 70% say they do not want.' "They are trying to exclude me from their debate because they are afraid I would win. Keeping viable candidates off the debate stage undermines democracy," he said in a post to X. Presidents Trump and Biden are colluding

Netanyahu Says Rafah Op To Take 'Weeks, Not Months' As EU Warns Of Damaged Ties

Netanyahu Says Rafah Op To Take 'Weeks, Not Months' As EU Warns Of Damaged Ties On Wednesday Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu declared that the controversial Rafah offensive, which has been criticized by a number of Western allies including Washington, is expected to "last weeks" and not not months or years. The Israeli leader appears to be trying to calm the storm of condemnation coming from the West, especially in Europe at a moment at least 500,000 Palestinians have been forced to flee Rafah. On the same day the European Union issued a call for Israel to stop the Rafah operation

Putin To Visit China To Discuss Energy Ties

Putin To Visit China To Discuss Energy Ties By Julianna Geiger of OilPrice.com Russian President Vladimir Putin is set to visit China on May 16-17 for discussions with President Xi Jinping, in part to discuss expanding energy and trade partnerships. The state visit, initiated by Xi, will cover topics such as China's Belt and Road Initiative as well as the situation in the Middle East and Asia, and Ukraine. Putin will be accompanied by key officials including Defense Minister Andrei Belousov, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, Security Council Secretary Sergei Shoigu, foreign policy adviser Yuri Ushakov, and executives from major Russian

Did Michael Cohen Commit Perjury In The Trump Trial?

Did Michael Cohen Commit Perjury In The Trump Trial? Authored by Jonathan Turley, Below is a slightly expanded version of my column in the New York Post on the first day of cross examination for Michael Cohen. He still has one day of cross examination ahead of him on Thursday. With the government resting after Cohen’s cross examination, I believe that an honest judge would have no alternative but to grant a motion for a directed verdict and end the case before it goes to the jury. Judge Juan Merchan will now have to give the full measure of his

WTI Rebounds Off Lows After Across-The-Board Inventory Draws

WTI Rebounds Off Lows After Across-The-Board Inventory Draws Oil prices are tumbling this morning despite lower CPI (juicing rate cut hopes), weak retail sales (but strong gas station spending), and a big draw reported overnight by API. It seems the main downside driver was IEA lowering its 2024 demand forecast. World oil demand is forecast to grow by 1.1 million barrels per day this year, down 140,000 bpd from last month's projection. Global crude inventories surged in March by 34.6 million barrels as trade disruptions pushed oil on water to a post pandemic high, according to the IEA. The question

First ATM, Now Debt-For-Equity Swap, AMC Drains Equity In Bid To Stay Alive 

First ATM, Now Debt-For-Equity Swap, AMC Drains Equity In Bid To Stay Alive  Volatility in "meme stocks" continued in premarket trading on Wednesday as AMC Entertainment Holdings announced a debt-for-equity exchange for $163.9 million in bonds maturing in 2026. This strategy mirrors management's approach that helped the struggling movie theater chain capitalize on retail day traders to boost liquidity in 2021.  A regulatory filing released Wednesday morning detailed how AMC reached a deal to swap about $164 million of its 10% notes due 2026 for 23.3 million shares of newly issued stock. The new stock is valued at $7.33 per share.  "AMC, much of whose debt trades at

“Trifecta Of Dovish News… Consistent With Fed Cutting In September”: Wall Street Reacts To Weaker CPI Print

"Trifecta Of Dovish News... Consistent With Fed Cutting In September": Wall Street Reacts To Weaker CPI Print With the CPI report came in on top of expectations on 3 of the 4 closely watched metrics, with just headline CPI coming in at 0.3%, just shy of the 0.4% expected (with the retail sales print coming in far uglier and missing across the board), there has been some debate among the usual commenting suspects whether this inflation report was enough to tip the scales to an earlier rate cut or not, although the consensus seems to suggest that the print was

Consumer Prices Have Risen Every Month Since 'Bidenomics' Began, Up 19.5% To Record High

Consumer Prices Have Risen Every Month Since 'Bidenomics' Began, Up 19.5% To Record High After a fourth straight month of hotter than expected PPI, analysts' expectations for CPI were tightly ranged around 0.3-0.4% MoM and printed +0.3% MoM (slightly below the 0.4% expected). The YoY headline CPI fell to +3.4% as expected from +3.5% prior Source: Bloomberg Under the hood, Services slowed modestly MoM... On a 3m and 6m annualized basis, Energy costs are reaccelerating most... Source: Bloomberg Used car and truck prices along with Gas Utility prices plunged on a MoM basis... Core CPI rose 0.3% MoM (as expected)

Fiscal Bazooka: China Considers Buying Millions Of Homes To Save Property Market

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